The IPO Bonanza (Part 1): IPO Fever Grips World Markets in a Binding Clench

Introduction 2018 was a somehow controversial year in IPO terms, with Q1, Q2 and Q3 building a strong momentum for companies to go public, and Q4 eroding the optimism recorded in the preceding timeframe. Unfortunately, 2019 has opened with the same negative outlook, with scheduled IPOs all throughout the world being put on hold in […]

Volatility Play on the Hidden Gold-Yuan Peg

Reserve Currencies A reserve currency is defined as a currency held by government for international payment purposes. The most important usages are: Repay back international debt (generally issued in reserve currencies) Defend the domestic currency against depreciation Improve the government credit rating Reserve currencies are many. The IMF chooses the most important ones to peg […]

Dislocations Between Historical and Implied Volatility as an Indicators of Volatility Trades

Differences between historical realized volatility and option implied volatility has for long been known as a potential indicator for volatility mispricing. To our knowledge, the first well-known academic study on the topic was conducted by Goyal and Saretto in 2009 and published as the paper ‘Cross-section of Option Returns and Volatility’. We will first start […]

Trading Volatility Using Options: a French Case

Introduction Volatility is a key feature of financial markets. It is commonly used as a measure for risk and is a common an indicator of the investors’ fear and concern about the future. While higher volatility means bigger profits and losses in a directional strategy (one which bets on a future movement of the price […]

A Primer on Risk-Parity

The concept of risk parity is not well-known among market participants. However, its resiliency to different market environment makes it a very interesting capital allocation strategy. It was first theorized in the sixties by Ray Dalio – founder of Bridgewater Associates – when he tried to find an answer to the following question: “What kind […]

A Bull Call Spread for Brazil

Brazil is coming from a three-year recessionary period, with an unemployment rate still above 12%. Despite this, the Bovespa index (IBOV), which is the top equity index for the Sao Paulo Stock Exchange and has 59 components, is up almost 10% since January 1st 2017 and up 70% since January 2016 (Chart 1). The current […]

Market Recap 8-05-2016

United States After reaching its weekly high at 2075, following good news from Facebook earnings, the S&P 500 fell to a low of 2033 and finished at a mid 2053 the end of earnings’ season. The Fed Once again proved to be Dovish and incapable of raising rates which drove the dollar index to its […]

Special Report – Oil: an impossible trade

Oil has long been one of the main drivers of the worldwide economy and for this reason it is closely watched by all investors and traders. The central role of what, back in the days, was called the “Black gold” is given by its high cross asset correlation. It has the power of leading the […]

Market Recap 1-05-2016

[edmc id= 3872]Download here the Market brief[/edmc] USA Earnings season is over and in the tech sector we observed important market reactions: the most notable one was AAPL 10% depreciation caused by its disappointing results. The hedge fund manager Karl Icahn expressed a bearish view on US stocks for the medium run and closed its […]

Market Recap 24-04-2016

[edmc id= 3846]Download here the Weekly Market Brief[/edmc] United States Microsoft and Alphabet weighed heavily on the major US stock indices Friday when the two stocks fell 7.3% and 5.1% respectively following disappointing earnings reports published late Thursday. On Tuesday, the S&P 500 broke 2,100 for the first time since December, closing at 2,100.80, before falling […]

Market Recap 06-03-2016

[edmc id= 3619]Download here the Weekly Market Brief[/edmc] United States Market sentiment improved this week, with major US indexes pushing higher on Super Tuesday: S&P 500 and Nasdaq surged 2.4% and 2.9% respectively, and election excitement increased risk-on appetite. S&P 500 finished at $1,999, up 2.7% on the week. Vix volalitily index came down to its […]

Market Recap 28-02-2016

[edmc id= 3544]Download here the Weekly Market Brief[/edmc] United States S&P 500 began the week trading in the red but rose on rebounding oil prices, ending with a weekly gain of 1.6% to 1,947. Oil also ended the week up, with Brent up 6.3% at $35.10 per barrel, on the back of expected declines in shale […]

Market Recap 21-02-2016

[edmc id= 3486]Download here the Weekly Market Brief[/edmc] United States S&P 500 started the week off strong and closed 2.8% higher, at 1,917, on the back of an oil price rally. The rally was due to an agreement between major oil producers, including Russia and Saudi Arabia, to set crude output at January levels but the […]

Market Recap 14-02-2016

[edmc id= 3343]Download here the Weekly Market Brief[/edmc] United States US economic data came in mixed, giving supple reason for the volatility seen in financial markets. The S&P 500 is trading near 2014 lows, due to intense dollar weakness on the back of the futures market pricing in almost 0% chance of rate hikes for 2016. […]

Volatility-linked strategy: a new approach

Can volatility indices provide useful signals on the “underlying” market? We tried to figure it out analysing some relations between the VIX and other indices provided by the Chicago Board Options Exchange. The VIX index, which is derived from prices of a basket of out-of-the-money options on the S&P500, represents a measure of the S&P500 […]

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