Market Recap 30-04-2017

United States After the French election relief and solid first quarter earnings reports the US equities finished the week higher. Slightly more than half of the S&P 500 has reported, showing positive signs of improving economic growth, with best performers tech and industrial companies. The S&P 500 after the rally at the beginning of the […]

Market Recap 23-04-2017

United States Amidst continued geopolitical uncertainty and mixed corporate earnings results, US equities experienced a week of sideways movement. Later in the week however, the major indices recovered some of their previous week´s losses as confidence in president Trump´s tax reforms strengthened again. US treasury secretary Steven Mnunich announced that a proposal for the tax […]

Trading Volatility Using Options: a French Case

Introduction Volatility is a key feature of financial markets. It is commonly used as a measure for risk and is a common an indicator of the investors’ fear and concern about the future. While higher volatility means bigger profits and losses in a directional strategy (one which bets on a future movement of the price […]

Market Recap 19-02-2017

United States On the week ended February 17, 2017, US stocks closed at record highs as investor sentiment remains positive given the possibility of changes to US corporate tax structure, as well as the likely loosening of regulations. The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 1.4% to 20,624, while the S&P500 increased by 1.2% to […]

Market Recap 27-11-2016

United States Not really a Black Friday for the US stock market. All the three major indexes continued their rally closing at historical highs and with similar gains. The S&P 500 closed at 2,213.25, up 1.4% from last week, the Dow Jones closed at 19,152.14, up 1.5% while the Nasdaq closed at 5,398.92, gaining 1.5%. […]

Market Recap 20-11-2016

United States On the week ended November 18th, stocks continued their post-election rally. Investors appear optimistic of President-Elect Donald Trump’s proposed expansionary fiscal policies. The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended a seven-trading-day post-election rally on Wednesday, during which it gained more than 5.7% reaching a new all-time high. The S&P 500 index gained 0.6% to […]

Market Recap 06-11-2016

United States On the week ended November 4th, election uncertainty overshadowed improving fundamentals and sent US stocks to their ninth consecutive decline. Over the week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined -1.0% to 17978, the S&P500 Index declined -1.4% to 2097.40, and NASDAQ declined -2.1% to 5080. The last heavy batch of third-quarter earnings also […]

Market Recap 30-10-2016

United States Disappointing earnings from Apple and Amazon heavily weighed on the Nasdaq, falling 1.3%. Positive surprises from large companies, such as Procter & Gamble, helped to offset some disappointments in the tech sector, resulting in the S&P 500 falling 0.7%. So far, the earnings seemed solid, as this is the first quarter with positive […]

Market Recap 1-05-2016

[edmc id= 3872]Download here the Market brief[/edmc] USA Earnings season is over and in the tech sector we observed important market reactions: the most notable one was AAPL 10% depreciation caused by its disappointing results. The hedge fund manager Karl Icahn expressed a bearish view on US stocks for the medium run and closed its […]

Volatility-linked strategy: a new approach

Can volatility indices provide useful signals on the “underlying” market? We tried to figure it out analysing some relations between the VIX and other indices provided by the Chicago Board Options Exchange. The VIX index, which is derived from prices of a basket of out-of-the-money options on the S&P500, represents a measure of the S&P500 […]

Rough awakening for short-vol dreamers

The VIX, known also as the Wall Street’s fear gauge, is the most common measure for expected volatility in the equity market. It is implicitly derived from the price of currently traded options on the S&P500 and over the years it evolved into an asset class of its own. Short-selling volatility became a popular strategy in […]

Let it be (volatile)

“Fear tends to manifest itself much more quickly than greed, so volatile markets tend to be on the downside. In up markets, volatility tends to gradually decline.” Philip Roth Introduction As options and other products whose price depends on volatility have become widespread, studying its behaviour is now a key skill required to every market […]

Put/call ratio as a guide to market sentiment: the S&P 500 case

Market volatility has increased recently, and also the endless linear trend of the S&P 500 has been marginally affected. Quoting some numbers, the VIX index moved to over 26 in mid-October from a minimum of 10 reached this summer. Volatility is a sign of market nervousness; besides being common during downturns (e.g. the VIX index […]

Our views on Twitter Share Price

In our Special Report (http://bsic.it/2013/10/19/bsic-special-report-twitter-ipo/), we analyzed Twitter’s characteristics, comparables and ratios. We valued Twitter shares at approximately 25$, really close to the final offering price (26$). After the IPO, Twitter’s share price dramatically soared to 45$, an unbelievable 72% surge: Analysts seem to agree with our view, and Mr. James Mackintosh, investment editor at […]

We’re all watching the rally: is S&P500 overvalued?

On May 3, 2013, more than thirteen years since its first close above 1500, the S&P 500 closed above 1600 for the first time, at 1,614.42. Last week it closed at 1,667,47, some say by the end of the summer it may reach 1700 points. There has been a lot of talking lately about the […]