Unicorns are out of shape: Peloton Interactive IPO raises some concerns

Peloton Interactive Inc. [NASDAQ: PTON] – Market Cap as of 12/10/2019 $6.26bn   Introduction On September 26th, 2019, Peloton, an American exercise equipment and media company, went public on the Nasdaq raising $1.16bn via its IPO. The company raised this capital through floating 40 million new shares at $29, effectively giving the company a valuation […]

Throwback to the 80s: the Melrose £8.1bn hostile takeover of GKN

Melrose Industries plc [LON:MRO] – market cap as of 13/04/2018: £4.36bn GKN plc [LON:GKN] – market cap as of 13/04/2018 £7.76bn Introduction  On March 29, 2018, “Project Golf” (as the bid was called internally) got pushed to the last hole, when the turnaround specialist Melrose received acceptance from the British engineering company GKN’s shareholders regarding […]

The FED Model: Illusion or Reality?

The aim of this article is to analyse the popular Fed Model, pointing out its strengths as a descriptive tool but warning investors against its alleged predictive qualities. The Fed Model is a stock valuation approach introduced in the late 1990s. It asserts that the acceptable earnings yield (the inverse of the PE ratio) for […]

Standard Life and Aberdeen’s Merger to Create a £660bn Asset Management Behemoth

Standard Life plc (SL.: LSE) – market cap as of 10/03/2017: £7.52bn Aberdeen Asset Management PLC (ADN: LSE) — market cap as of 10/03/2017: £3.77bn Introduction On March 6, 2017, it was announced that Standard Life plc (“Standard Life”) has agreed to acquire Aberdeen Asset Management PLC (“Aberdeen”) in an all-share transaction. Based on the […]

Liberty Media Won the Formula One’s Acquisition Race

Liberty Media Group (LMCA, LMCB, LMCK) – market cap as of 28/09/2016: $9.61bn Introduction On September 7, Liberty Media Corporation, a US-based mass media company, announced a two-step acquisition of Formula One in a deal that values the company at $8bn, and its equity at $4.4bn. Liberty Media Corporation will perform the acquisition through a […]

The future of gold: the full hedge role is at risk

Historically, correlation among different risky assets has increased during periods of financial crisis: losses in one market spread to others, thus creating “contagion”. The increased correlation phenomenon is confirmed by our previous analysis on the topic (http://www.bsic.it/new-old-high-correlation/). Furthermore, there is also the so-called “flight to quality”, meaning that investors move their allocation towards assets that […]

Starwood – Marriott: Star Marriage or a Walkaway?

Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide Inc.; Market Cap: $12.18bn (as of 19/11/2015) Marriott International Inc.; Market Cap: $ 18.64bn (as of 19/11/2015)   Introduction On November 16, Marriott International, Inc. (NASDAQ:MAR) and Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide, Inc. (NYSE: HOT) announced that the boards of directors of both companies unanimously approved a definitive merger agreement, […]

Ferrari: too fast outside the circuit?

[edmc id= 3236]Download here the Ferrari Pitch[/edmc] After having covered the IPO of Ferrari (http://www.bsic.it/wanna-flawless-ferrari-52-now-feasible/) in detail a couple of weeks ago, we are now trying to identify RACE’s market positioning in terms of multiples. The structure of the analysis is as follows: firstly, we plot Ferrari’s positioning against major automakers and luxury brands in terms […]

Is 2015 the new 1997/1998?

Macroeconomic scenario in 1997 In 1997, speculative attacks against the Thai baht forced the country to float and devalue its currency in a move that was followed by the Philippines, Malaysia, Singapore, and Indonesia. Then, Hong Kong stock market experienced a massive decline, which consequently led to losses in markets around the globe. The crisis […]

A bigger future for Nokia

The TMT market underwent profound changes during the last years, consolidating the best practice businesses and asking for a reshape of the others. That is the case of Nokia (NOK). In fact, it gave up to Microsoft the Devices & Services division in 2013 and, at the beginning of August 2015, revealed the sale of […]

Daimler – Shifting into the next gear

Driven by strong growth in China, the announcement of QE in the Eurozone and a solid recovery in the US, the automotive sector experienced a remarkable rally since the beginning of the year to the end of June. The SXAP (STOXX Europe 600 Automobiles & Parts Index) expanded more than 29% during the five months […]

Want a robust quality drug pipeline? – Pay super premium!: Alexion to acquire Synageva in an $8.4bn deal

Alexion Pharmaceuticals Inc.; market cap (as of 09/05/2015): $32.54bn Synageva Biopharma Corp.; market cap (as of 09/05/2015): $7.91bn   Introduction On May 6, 2015, Alexion Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ:ALXN), the manufacturer of the world’s single most expensive prescription drug Soliris, and Synageva BioPharma Corp. (NASDAQ:GEVA) have entered into a definitive agreement under which the former will […]

Apple: Bigger Screen, Longer lines, Higher stock price?

IPhone 6 officially hit Apple Stores this weekend in 9 key markets; it was very welcomed with 4 million preorders (double those of iPhone 5) and tremendously long lines of fans: outside Apple flagship store of 5th Avenue people flocked in a line 12 blocks long. The new model of the iPhone does not come […]

FCA: the price of ambition

On May 6th, Sergio Marchionne has announced an ambitious, probably unnecessarily bullish, five-year plan at the Chrysler division’s headquarters in Auburn Hills, near Detroit. Through this article, we are going to evaluate it and its impact on the stock price, from both the fundamental approach and the technical analysis methodology. The industrial plan in detail […]

A harmonic price pattern for trading YOOX

YOOX reported its quarterly results on Wednesday 7th May after market closure. Most items experienced a significant growth (it is not something new for the e-commerce player): revenues were up 14.6% y-o-y, EBITDA resulted +33.9%, but net profit was down 13.4% in the same period. Moreover, the management confirmed the guidance. The fact that profitability […]

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