Introduction Trading ideas and strategies are heavily affected by the decision makers’ overall view on the market. One of the main indicators of the US market strength is the S&P500 index, which is praised for its broad scope compared to other indices such as The Dow Jones Industrial Average. Many investors use this index as
US On Wednesday some important economic figures were released. The Core CPI Index and the CPI Index went up respectively by 0.3% and 0.5% (MoM) in January fueling up US inflation expectations; the movement was larger than forecasted and was offset by the data on Retail Sales which went down by 0.3% (MoM) in January.
The aim of this article is to analyse the popular Fed Model, pointing out its strengths as a descriptive tool but warning investors against its alleged predictive qualities. The Fed Model is a stock valuation approach introduced in the late 1990s. It asserts that the acceptable earnings yield (the inverse of the PE ratio) for
Market Recap 05-03-2017 United States Despite experiencing a downward correction towards the closing of the week, US equity indices reached new record levels. The Dow Jones Industrial Average reached a new record level by breaching the 21.000 mark. On Wednesday, it peaked at 21.115, to close the week at 21.005, its first loss in a
[edmc id= 3872]Download here the Market brief[/edmc] USA Earnings season is over and in the tech sector we observed important market reactions: the most notable one was AAPL 10% depreciation caused by its disappointing results. The hedge fund manager Karl Icahn expressed a bearish view on US stocks for the medium run and closed its
Stocks have risen sharply since 2011, while earnings have lagged Consider this: Since the beginning of 2011 the S&P 500 has risen by more than 60%. On the contrary, aggregate GAAP earnings of the companies included in the index have actually dropped, while Non-GAAP income (a measure that generally smoothes GAAP earnings for extraordinary items)
[edmc id= 3290]Download here the Weekly Market Brief[/edmc] United States A flurry of US data came out this week. Consumer sentiment came in at 91.3 in November, below an initial reading of 93.1. New home sales rose to 10.7%, taken as positive despite coming in below consensus. Consumer spending increased 0.1% in October, below expectations of
[edmc id= 3279]Download here the Weekly Market Brief[/edmc] United States Once again, the discussion around the expected Fed policy decisions in December has dominated the week in the US markets. The minutes of the Fed October meeting, released on Wednesday, hardened expectations of an interest rate hike. They also hinted at a cautious approach after that,
Can volatility indices provide useful signals on the “underlying” market? We tried to figure it out analysing some relations between the VIX and other indices provided by the Chicago Board Options Exchange. The VIX index, which is derived from prices of a basket of out-of-the-money options on the S&P500, represents a measure of the S&P500
[edmc id= 3197]Download here the Weekly Market Brief[/edmc] United States The one just ended has been a pretty volatile week for the US market, with investors continuing to show some concern about the possibility of a rate hike in December in an environment of still uneven economic growth. Deteriorating growth outlooks in Asia and Europe, and
[edmc id= 3174]Download here the Weekly Market Brief[/edmc] United States US economy has seen many macroeconomic data being released this week, in particular regarding the labour market, while the FED governor had a speech that has strongly affected the markets on Wednesday. The labour market has been the main actor of the week: the ISM manufacturing
[edmc id= 3109]Download here the Weekly Market Brief[/edmc] United States This week has been very intensive due to the large amount of macroeconomic data that have stricken the US economy. On the labour market side, the situation continues to improve. In fact, the initial jobless claim beat expectations, 260K requests against a prediction of 263K, as
Empirical evidence suggests that correlation between asset classes tends to spike during a period of market crisis, because investors panic and sell indiscriminately. This phenomenon is usually short-lived and correlation returns to a normal level as the market stabilizes. During the 2008 financial crisis, this effect was amplified by a liquidity shock. Highly leveraged banks
[edmc id= 3009]Download here the Weekly Market Brief[/edmc] United States October still seems to be a very positive month for US equities. Some analysts pointed it out as the month for a possible rate hike, but it ended up being positive so far, even if uncertainties about the long-awaited rate hike still hold. The S&P500 is
[edmc id= 2948]BSIC Weekly Market Brief[/edmc] United States The new positive data regarding the labour market and the speech of the FOMC regarding the recent decision of the FED not to hike interest rates have impacted US markets in the past week. For what concerns the labour side, the Initial Jobless Claims was highly relevant.