Tag: greece

What is the Real Value of Greek Banks?

Greek Banking Sector The Greek banking system is built around four large systemic banks, whose summary statistics you can see in the table below. All four banks have undergone a significant restructuring process, whereby both the asset value and the market capitalization went down a lot. In addition, a number of reverse stock splits that […]

Greek Banks are Back (in THE Game)

Macro Environment 2018 is bound to be the point of inflection for the Greek economy. The Bank of Greece reports that GDP will grow 2.5% over the next two years, while the European Commission expects a 1.6% growth in 2017 – the economy’s best performance in a decade. Greece’s 10-year bond yield fell below 4% […]

Market Recap 07-05-2017

United States The S&P 500 closed the week at $2,399.29, a record high and up 0.63% when compared with the close of the previous week. During the week several important announcements have been released; first of all the Federal Reserve decided to leave interest rate unchanged at 0.75%-1.00% following the slowdown in growth experienced by […]

Market Recap 05-03-2017

Market Recap 05-03-2017 United States Despite experiencing a downward correction towards the closing of the week, US equity indices reached new record levels. The Dow Jones Industrial Average reached a new record level by breaching the 21.000 mark. On Wednesday, it peaked at 21.115, to close the week at 21.005, its first loss in a […]

Teams and tactics of the Greek game

Greece has returned in the spotlight again. Since the hard left government of Alexis Tsipras took office in January, tough negotiations on structural reforms, between the new government and Greece’s international creditors, began and they are still ongoing. Fresh worries are now driven by the risk of a partial default of Greece, which desperately needs […]

Market Recap 25/04/2015

US US equities climbed to new heights as the week drew to a close with the Nasdaq Composite surpassing its previous peak of 5048.62 points from the year 2000 that marked the height of the dot-com era. The tech-heavy index advanced 3.2% over the last 5 days to close Friday’s trading session at 5092.08. Among […]

Market Recap 18/04/2015

This week the market division wrote about US, UK and EU, with a particular focus on what is happening in Greece. US The market mover this week in US was the inflation figure – consumer prices fell 0.1% in March with respect to last year, but the core measure of inflation which strips out more […]

GREXIT: A Recap, A Trade

It has been a tough couple of weeks for the Euro area and what seemed like a major Euro breakdown turned -temporarily- into a much more stable situation this week. But let us go back in time a little, when Grexit was more likely. Up to just a couple of weeks ago, the debt burden […]

Speculators’ Eyes Are Back On The Mediterranean: Will Greece Provide An Investment Opportunity to PE Funds and Hedge Fund Managers?

1. What’s Going On In Greece 1.1 Global Financial Crisis, Sovereign Debt Crisis and the Troika Greece is a country that witnessed big changes in the last years. 2008 was the year when the Global Financial Crisis exploded, changing the world for all of us. 2009 saw the burst of the sovereign debt crisis, and […]

Trade Idea: Short Greek Equity Index – Long Ftse 100

The first point is that the Greek equity index level is very stretched: RSI is now over 70 and price levels already reached the upper Bollinger band. Although this would already be enough to short the index, a closer look at historical data corroborates this feeling. The true driver seems to be speculation; indeed historical […]

Q&A on the Cyprus situation

How big is Cyprus’ economy?  GDP of €18.0bn as of 2011 (latest official figure)   Why does Cyprus need a bailout? Did Cyprus have an irresponsible/spendthrift Government? No, it is its banks that are the problem. Cyprus’ Debt/GDP ratio stood at 49% in 2008 and rose to 71% by 2011 as a result of the […]