Everything you need to know about oil – Part 2

Introduction This is the second and last part on BSIC’s report about the oil industry. In this article, we set out to discuss the most relevant determinants of oil demand in the short to medium term. We analyze the effects that a predicted economic slowdown would have on the consumption of petroleum. Moreover, we discuss […]

The Fiscal Trap: Is Germany Ready For Fiscal Expansion?

Introduction Over the past ten years, Germany has always been the leading European country in terms of economic growth. Notwithstanding a series of emergencies arising from Southern Europe, such as the Greek government-debt crisis and the Italian political instability, the federation was able to deliver an impressive economic performance, corroborated by a sky-high current account […]

When “subject to regulatory approval” means troubles: forms of government intervention in M&A transactions

Introduction A persistent financial crisis, the rising of regional tensions, the concerns of a trade war and many other facts have recently been catching up with the M&A-friendly international environment. Protectionism seems now to pervade the new world order. Rising economic nationalism is threatening to impact M&A activity across all over the world, as governments […]

Germany IPO Market skyrockets as Siemens spins off its medtech division

Siemens AG (ETR: SIE) – market cap as of 06/04/2018: €88.8bn Siemens Healthineers AG (ETR: SHL) – market cap as of 06/04/2018: €33.9bn Introduction On March 16, 2018, the German conglomerate Siemens performed an initial public offering of its principal and second most profitable division, Healthineers, on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange. The floatation was one […]

E.ON, Innogy and RWE light up the German energy industry: a €43bn structural reshuffle

Innogy SE (ETR: IGY) – market cap as of 06/04/2018: €21.2bn E.On SE (ETR: EOAN) – market cap as of 06/04/2018: €19.9bn RWE AG (ETR: RWE) – market cap as of 06/04/2018: €12.2bn Introduction On March 10th, German electricity-utility company RWE announced it had reached an agreement to sell a 76.8% stake in Innogy to […]

Is The (CDS) Maginot Line Falling?

Introduction The aim of this article is to analyse the current CDS spread of France with respect to Germany, and propose a profitable strategy for betting on the convergence of the spreads. The article is going to provide a brief introduction on the topic of CDS, followed by a short overview of the political instability […]

Chinese Shopping in Europe – Outbound M&A Wave

Introduction Chinese buyers are becoming increasingly important in worldwide M&A activities. Their deal volume has increased from $259bn in 2013 to $735bn in 2015, of which $61bn were closed cross-border transactions. In 2016 the numbers have considerably increased: announced cross-border activity reached $96bn in Q1 and the up-to-date expected volume for the year hits a […]

Is time up for Universal Banks? Deutsche Bank – Postbank case

Introduction As the financial system stabilises after the recent crisis, three distinct business models are emerging. First, focused retail institutions with a specific offering of products and services, such as American regional banks and Europe’s savings banks. Second, investment banks which also operate asset management businesses and private equity investments. And finally, global universal banks […]

European Risk Adjustment Trade (Stoxx)

The European debt crisis seems to have taken the way of recovery and the rates for European government bonds reflect a positive economic outlook in the Euro area. The Euro Stoxx 50 Index includes Europe’s leading Blue-chips companies. Actually, these companies are  considered as safe as AAA European countries (Germany, Finland, Netherlands) and represent an […]