The IPO Bonanza (Part 1): IPO Fever Grips World Markets in a Binding Clench

Introduction 2018 was a somehow controversial year in IPO terms, with Q1, Q2 and Q3 building a strong momentum for companies to go public, and Q4 eroding the optimism recorded in the preceding timeframe. Unfortunately, 2019 has opened with the same negative outlook, with scheduled IPOs all throughout the world being put on hold in […]

The Green Rush

The “Green rush” is the way in which the media has described the incredible “bull-run” which has characterized the equities engaging in the cannabis sector. In this article we are going to analyze the industry, explaining its history, characteristics and main players. We are going to focus in the later part of the article on […]

Russian Bear is Back

In this article, we will suggest some reasons to consider an investment in the Russian economy, by first introducing the international economic environment, then the specific Russian economy and finally provide an investment strategy. Why to Invest in Russia? The purpose of the article is to show why an investment in Russia could be very […]

What is the Real Value of Greek Banks?

Greek Banking Sector The Greek banking system is built around four large systemic banks, whose summary statistics you can see in the table below. All four banks have undergone a significant restructuring process, whereby both the asset value and the market capitalization went down a lot. In addition, a number of reverse stock splits that […]

Q1 Earnings season – Time to get you some new shorts for the summer

Stocks have risen sharply since 2011, while earnings have lagged Consider this: Since the beginning of 2011 the S&P 500 has risen by more than 60%. On the contrary, aggregate GAAP earnings of the companies included in the index have actually dropped, while Non-GAAP income (a measure that generally smoothes  GAAP earnings for extraordinary items) […]

BSIC Guide to 2016 Financial Markets

2016 is highly likely to be the year when a generation of traders and analysts will play in an environment characterised by rising interest rates (especially, in the US) for the first time in their career. On the other side, however, expansive monetary policies will still be present in most of the remaining macroeconomic areas […]

Bitcoin or Bust, Goldman Sachs backs payment startup: Circle

Bitcoin Imagine you could send your money from one part of the world to another in a matter of minutes and without paying outrageous fees to the banks. Bitcoin is an innovative way to do this. It was invented by Satoshi Nakamoto in 2008 and published as open-source software. Bitcoin is a peer-to-peer system that […]

Put/call ratio as a guide to market sentiment: the S&P 500 case

Market volatility has increased recently, and also the endless linear trend of the S&P 500 has been marginally affected. Quoting some numbers, the VIX index moved to over 26 in mid-October from a minimum of 10 reached this summer. Volatility is a sign of market nervousness; besides being common during downturns (e.g. the VIX index […]

Alibaba files for what is set to be the biggest IPO ever

Chinese tech giant Alibaba is on track to complete the single largest IPO in history. According to the S-1 filing submitted on the 6th of May, the fast-growing online retail conglomerate is expecting to fetch from $15bn to $20bn in exchange for a 12% stake, making it potentially larger then Visa’s $18bn IPO back in […]

Tyres will drift again

Pirelli has been under the spotlight since the beginning of the past week. The company, which is among the main players in the global tyre industry and leader in the high-end segment of the sector, has been characterised by a reorganisation of the shareholders structure. Rosneft, the biggest oil producer of Russia, has become the […]

Moleskine: are pages already finished?

Moleskine is the manufacturer and distributor of numerous branded accessories, including the famous notebooks used by several writers and artists, like Hemingway and Van Gogh. In particular, the company operates three business lines: a) Paper products b) Writing, travelling & reading collections c) Digital services. Paper items have been the historical product category, offering (besides […]

How to trade Moncler?

After analyzing Moncler’s fundamentals last week (http://bsic.it/2013/11/30/piazza-affari-revival-moncler-ipo/), in this article we want to provide a more practical description of how it would be possible to profit from the hottest IPO of the year on Borsa Italiana. We have investigated three different ways of benefitting from Moncler’s IPO: • Underwrite the IPO or buy Moncler stocks […]

Trade Idea: Short Greek Equity Index – Long Ftse 100

The first point is that the Greek equity index level is very stretched: RSI is now over 70 and price levels already reached the upper Bollinger band. Although this would already be enough to short the index, a closer look at historical data corroborates this feeling. The true driver seems to be speculation; indeed historical […]