Indian Election 2019 – World’s Biggest Parliamentary Exercise And What’s In It For You

India, the world’s largest democracy with 900 million eligible voters, is currently engaged in one of the most complex voting exercises around the modern democratic world. The sheer logistics of the largest election on earth is, naturally complex; the election is being held in 7 phases, spanning from 11th April to 19th May with the […]

Brazil’s “Real” Struggle: what’s next?

In this article we are going to analyse Brazil’s next General elections, scheduled to be held on October 7 (i.e. today). The first section will present some basic information about Brazil and a brief background on the current political situation. The second part will present key factors on the Brazilian economy and about the functioning […]

Market Recap 09-04-2017

United States US stocks took a break after last week gains. The S&P 500 fell 0.3% closing the week at 2355.54, while large-caps were flat with the Dow Jones at last week’s levels. One of the major drivers of financial markets was the FED releasing the minutes of its mid-March meeting. The minutes highlighted the […]

Is The (CDS) Maginot Line Falling?

Introduction The aim of this article is to analyse the current CDS spread of France with respect to Germany, and propose a profitable strategy for betting on the convergence of the spreads. The article is going to provide a brief introduction on the topic of CDS, followed by a short overview of the political instability […]

Market Recap 26-09-2015

BSIC Weekly Market Brief United States Last week decision by the FED to keep the cost of money unchanged was still affecting the stock market, pushing the S&P500 down during the first part of this week. On the other hand, the yield on the 10-year Treasury Notes has floated quite a bit, closing the negotiations […]

Market Recap 25/04/2015

US US equities climbed to new heights as the week drew to a close with the Nasdaq Composite surpassing its previous peak of 5048.62 points from the year 2000 that marked the height of the dot-com era. The tech-heavy index advanced 3.2% over the last 5 days to close Friday’s trading session at 5092.08. Among […]

Market Recap 18/04/2015

This week the market division wrote about US, UK and EU, with a particular focus on what is happening in Greece. US The market mover this week in US was the inflation figure – consumer prices fell 0.1% in March with respect to last year, but the core measure of inflation which strips out more […]

FTSE100 Time to sell

The FTSE100 index has recently touched its all time high. Is this peak justified? Most likely not, in our opinion. There are both long term and short-term reasons to expect the most important UK index to decline in the near future.   Long Term: global economic growth and interest rates Let’s first address the reasons […]

MARKET RECAP 6/12/2014

US The week ended with a boom for the US economy as the November jobs report was released on Friday. 321,000 new jobs were created in the last month, well ahead of economists’ forecasts of 230,000. This piece of news puts the US economy on track to achieve the best year of jobs growth since […]

MARKET RECAP 29/11/2014

US The week just past us was one of slight gains in US equity markets, with most volume on Tuesday and Wednesday due to the Thanksgiving holiday on Thursday. The week opened with a soft print of the US services PMI, then trading became jittery for the S&P 500 as on Tuesday the growth rate […]

MARKET RECAP 15/11/2014

US US equities continued to trade sideways in the last week due to the lack of news catalysts. The only major pieces of news out were the number of initial and continuing jobless claims diffused on Thursday and the retail sales figures released on Friday. The anticipation of the former two had pushed the S&P […]

Can silver rise when gold falls? This is the question

On normal market days, the (positive) correlation between gold and silver is quite high. Looking at the chart below, it looks like silver gives chase to the movements in gold and follows them quite closely. One thing we can observe though is that downside changes in gold reflect more heavily on silver prices, which lose […]

MARKET RECAP 08/11/2014

US It has been a busy week for US markets, filled with plenty of data and the outcome of the midterms on November 4th. The result of these was a Republican takeover of the Senate, and in all the expression of dissatisfaction or anger at Mr Obama’s performance. The S&P 500, which opened on Monday […]

Trade idea: short Mediolanum

Trade idea: short Mediolanum In the next few weeks Italian financials will be under stress in our opinion. Uncertainty is likely to keep ruling the markets for political reasons and macroeconomic fundamentals are still concerning as shown by recent releases of February PMI index (45.8, -2 month on month) or youth unemployment (an impressive 38.7%, […]