In our previous semester, we repeatedly stated our bearish position on Pandora Media (P). Our analysis focused mainly on three key points: – Growing competitors – Slowing users’ and revenues’ growth – Unprofitable Business model Since our first report the stock is up 50,6% and 218.88% YoY: investors feel confident Read more…
After a difficult year, Apple – almost flat YTD compared with a 27% rally in S&P500 – seems to be on its way to recovery. Source: Thumbcharts.com Since Q4 earnings release the stock has already rallied 10%, but especially this week a new wave of optimism has pushed the stock Read more…
In our Special Report (https://bsic.it/2013/10/19/bsic-special-report-twitter-ipo/), we analyzed Twitter’s characteristics, comparables and ratios. We valued Twitter shares at approximately 25$, really close to the final offering price (26$). After the IPO, Twitter’s share price dramatically soared to 45$, an unbelievable 72% surge: Source: Bloomberg Analysts seem to agree with our view, Read more…
Rumors about the plans to expand Itunes Radio to more English-speaking countries other than US by early 2014 led to a turbulent week for Pandora, the music streaming industry leader. With about 72 million active users, Pandora has been the first music streaming website to go public. This year Pandora Read more…
AT&T Inc. (Market Capitalization as of 24/05/2013: $197.6bn) Verizon Communications Inc. (Market Capitalization as of 24/05/2013: $147.0bn) Vodafone Group PLC (Market Capitalization as of 24/05/2013: $144.7bn) Vodafone: M&A since 1985 The strong winds of market activity in the US telecom landscape have recently reignited a dormant flame in the Read more…
Given the turbulence in the implied volatility observed in the aftermath of Apple’s Q1 results, we adopt a sophisticated quantitative model to better understand its dynamics. What we have observed so far in the option market is a large decrease in the 1-month implied volatility, and a sustained level of Read more…
Apple, Inc. Market Cap (as of 03/05/13): $418.2 bn Transaction Size: $17.0bn On the 30th of April Apple Inc. has set a new corporate record. In fact, after having recently regained its position as the world’s most valuable company and having announced the largest share buyback in history, it sold $17bn of Read more…
Last week we suggested to leverage on our quant models to play out the cointegration existing between Apple and Amazon by shorting roughly 2 Amazon stocks for each Apple stock bought. The idea, which benefited from both a fundamental and quantitative edge has returned a profit of roughly 5.5%, assuming Read more…
After a long ride south, investors are now given the highly debated Q1 results, which did not seem to bring enough surprise to trigger a turnaround in the stock. However, what we see is indecisive investors frenetically buying and selling the stock on expectations of a short-lived rebound, hindered by Read more…
Apple, Inc. Market Cap (as of 26/04/13): $391.61bn Transaction Size: $100bn over three years (program to end in late 2015) On the 23rd of April, Apple reported its quarterly earnings, with revenues on the rise YoY albeit paired with a lower net income. The results were largely in line with Read more…