“Energetic” Consolidation

Linn Energy, LLC Market Cap (as of 28/02/13): $8.94bn Linn Co, LLC Market Cap (as of 28/02/13): $1.36bn Berry Petroleum Market Cap (as of 28/02/13): $2.5bn Repsol SA Market Cap (as of 01/03/2013): $27.36bn Royal Dutch Shell Market Cap (as of 01/03/2013): $212.76bn The energy sector has been experiencing a consolidating trend with companies trying […]

US Airways agrees to acquire AMR and create world’s biggest carrier

AMR Corporation – Market Cap (as of 01/03/13): $ 0.84 bn; US Airways Group Inc. – Market Cap (as of 01/03/13): $2.19 bn Deal type: 100% Acquisition Size: $6.12bn On February 14, AMR Corporation, the parent company of American Airlines, and US Airways Group Inc., announced that the boards of directors of both companies have […]

Trade Idea: exploit bullish breakouts and buy protection with an Index short trade

Trade Idea: exploit bullish breakouts and buy protection with an Index short trade Bad news coming from Europe with the altogether disappointing outcome of our elections did not divert the uptrend of the US indices. The Dow Jones surged close to the key 14,082 resistance. As it is usually observed historically, a breakout over this […]

Elan – from buyer to target?

Elan Corporation PLC – Market Cap (as of 01/03/13) : $6.7bn Royalty Management, LLC On Monday, 25 February 2013, Royalty Pharma, the American private equity firm investing in acquiring drug royalties, made an indicative offer to acquire all the outstanding shares of Elan Corporation, the Irish biotech company listed in New York. Some of you […]

Trade idea: short Mediolanum

Trade idea: short Mediolanum In the next few weeks Italian financials will be under stress in our opinion. Uncertainty is likely to keep ruling the markets for political reasons and macroeconomic fundamentals are still concerning as shown by recent releases of February PMI index (45.8, -2 month on month) or youth unemployment (an impressive 38.7%, […]

Trade idea: Short Nikkei Long NZDJPY

Trade idea: Short Nikkei Long NZDJPY The volatility of the recent week, ahead of the Italian election, has pushed up the safety havens assets as investors turned more risk averse, in particular the JPY appreciated significantly. However, we noticed that the Nikkei 225 Index does not weaken consequently so the inverse relationship between the JPY […]

Long term investment: long Apple

Long term investment: long Apple Today Apple reached a new 52 weeks low at 431.88 in a historical fall, losing from September highs nearly 39% of its market value. Moreover it closed red 8 of the last 10 trading days. We believe this is a great opportunity to buy one of the greatest companies of […]

Trade Idea: Short AUD/JPY

Trade Idea: Short AUD/JPY   It is well known that the BoJ is pursuing a really aggressive expansionary monetary policy that clearly is pushing down the Yen compared to other currencies. However, we see a possible reverse in the short term trend of the pair AUD/JPY. From a technical point view we saw that the […]

A quite expensive ketchup

Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Market Cap (as of 21/02/2013): $249.04bn 3G Capital Market Cap: N/A, participation of $4bn equity H. J. Heinz Company Market Cap (as of 21/02/2013): $23.15bn The Oracle of Omaha has finally decided to put to use some its spare cash and joined forces with 3G Capital in the biggest buyout ever in […]

Comcast to acquire remaining stake in NBCUniversal Media

Comcast market cap (as of 22/02/13) : $105.3bn NBCUniversal Media market cap (as of 22/02/13) : N/A On the 12th of February Comcast Corporation announced the acquisition of General Electric’s remaining 49% common equity stake in NBCUniversal for a valuation of approximately $16.7bn. Comcast, a global media and technology company, operates in two primary businesses: […]

Follow-up on last week short trade on Blackberry

Last week we issued a sell recommendation on the Blackberry maker, after we spotted a negative pattern in the chart, supported by fundamental arguments of a darkened sales prospect. The position returned a net profit of 9%, reaching our target level. We therefore now recommend to close the trade and take profit. […]

Focus on Monte dei Paschi di Siena

In this continuation from the previous newsletter we enter more in depth into the merits of the Monti Bonds as well as explaining the infamous three derivatives contract recently called into question (Alexandria, Santorini and Nota Italia).   Monti Bonds Although it could be erroneously believed that Monti Bonds have been invented in December 2012 […]

Trade Idea: Long USD/GBP

There is a strong trend in place and we believe that it may continue in future. On the macroeconomic point the BoE is committed to a strong expansionary monetary policy and the new president claiming that inflation target may notbe the only goal of the bank with more focus on the economic output. The FED […]

Monte Paschi’s €3.9bn bailout – In depth

BMPS mkt cap (as of 15/02/13): €2.8bn Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena, the world’s oldest bank (founded in 1472) and Italy’s third biggest lender with €224bn assets, has been at the centre of attention in recent weeks following disclosure that the bank suffered a €730 million loss related to three loss-making derivative transactions (namely […]

Dell’s mammoth $24bn LBO – In depth

Silverlake Partners IV – Committed Capital: $7.5 bn Dell Inc. Mkt Cap: $23.8bn Microsoft Inc. Mkt Cap: $234.9 bn On February 5, 2013 Silver Lake Management LLC announced the completion of the largest LBO since the heyday of Blackstone’s acquisition of Hilton hotels back in 2007 and the largest buyout of a technology company ever, surpassing […]

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