Market Recap 18/02/18

US On Wednesday some important economic figures were released. The Core CPI Index and the CPI Index went up respectively by 0.3% and 0.5% (MoM) in January fueling up US inflation expectations; the movement was larger than forecasted and was offset by the data on Retail Sales which went down by 0.3% (MoM) in January. […]

A Double Edged Sword of the US Economy

Introduction As we noted in our final publication of 2017, the year 2017 was characterized by very low volatility and stable positive returns on the majority of stock markets. This took place even despite the start of stimulus withdrawal by major central banks which was seen in the gradual increase in the target policy rates […]

Bored of expensive blue chips? Try EM bond market instead!

Introduction The low-interest rate environment which has characterised the markets since the breakout of the financial crisis left fixed-income investors with one way to continue to benefit from high yields: emerging markets. In addition to this, China started a credit expansion in order to keep the levels of GDP growth steadily above 6.5% which has […]

2017 M&A Review and 2018 Breakthrough: the cases of the Pharma and TMT sectors

Introduction In January 2018, M&A activity surpassed investors’ expectations. According to a report by law firm Baker McKenzie, global mergers and acquisitions are expected to hit an 18-year record, reaching $3.2 trillion in 2018. To the same extent, cross-border M&A is expected to reach new time highs. In the December 2017, President Trump signed the […]

Coffee and Soda: Keurig to acquire Dr Pepper Snapple for $18.7bn in cash

Dr Pepper Snapple Group (NYSE:DPS) – market cap as of 17/02/2018: $28.78bn Introduction On January 29, 2018, Keurig Green Mountain, the coffee group owned by JAB Holding, announced the acquisition of soda maker Dr Pepper Snapple Group. Under the terms of the reverse takeover, Keurig will pay $103.75 per share in a special cash dividend […]

“The train to IPO is cancelled, we apologize for the inconvenience”: Infrastructure Fund GIP bids €1.98bn for Italian Railway Group Italo-NTV

Introduction On the 8th of February 2018, the shareholders of the Italian high-speed train operator Italo-NTV (Nuovo Trasporto Viaggiatori) (“The Company”) have accepted the offer of Global Infrastructure Partners (“GIP”) for the disposal of 100% of their stake, for an equity value of around €1.94bn. As a result, the plan to list 40% of the […]

2018 Tentative Outlook – An Eye On The Future And On The Past

In this article we would like to assess the current year from a macroeconomic as well as from a market perspective. 2017 – The Year Almost Behind Us So far, 2017 has been characterized by: Synchronized global growth reaching 3,7% Equities (+17,3%) outperformed bond (+2,6%) Sector-by-sector speaking healthcare (+19,3%) and tech (+36,6%) over-performed global markets […]

Market Recap 03-12-17

United States US stocks closed mostly higher on the week ended December 1, 2017. The Dow Jones Industrial Average recorded its best weekly gain for the year, gaining 673.60 points (+2.9%) to close at 24,231.59. The S&P 500 Index gained 39.80 points (+1.5%) to close at 2,642.22, while the Nasdaq index recorded a loss of […]

Trading the Dispersion: chapter III

Trading the Dispersion: chapter III Here is the final part of our series about the strategy known as dispersion trading. The article will first focus on an additional dispersion indicator we will employ to time the entry and exit points of our strategy. Then, we will derive the optimal number of portfolios of options for […]

Creating today’s Media Powerhouse: Meredith to buy U.S. publisher Time in Koch-backed Deal

  Meredith Corporation (NYSE:MDP) – market cap as of 02/12/2017: $2.96bn Time Inc. (NYSE:TIME.K) – market cap as of 02/12/2017: $1.85bn Introduction On the November 26, 2017, Meredith Corporation entered into a binding agreement to acquire Time Inc., Meredith’s former rival and one the biggest incumbents in the media sector, for a $2.8bn. The bidder […]

Cerberus buys major share in BBVA’s real estate assets riding the wave of the Spanish roaring housing market

Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria S.A. (BBVA:MCE) – market cap as of 1/12/2017: €47.17bn Introduction On November 29, 2017, it was announced that BBVA had sold to the American fund Cerberus the bulk of its real estate business in Spain. Through this operation, the Spanish bank will reduce by 70% its gross property exposure, which currently […]

Online-to-Offline: Alibaba joins the trend with $2.88bn investment in Sun Art

Sun Art Retail Group Ltd (HKG: 6808) – Market Cap as of 02/12/17: $74.70bn Alibaba Group (NYSE: BABA) – Market Cap as of 02/12/17: $447.20bn Introduction On November 19, 2017, the Chinese online giant Alibaba acquired a 36.16% stake in Sun Art, an important player in the Chinese offline retail market. A unit of Alibaba […]

Euro risk-free asset wanted

Introduction The introduction of the common currency started a landmark European integration process. However, the sovereign debt crisis showed all the limits of an incomplete European integration, limited to monetary policy only, with a single central bank and 19 independent debt markets. The sovereign debt crisis was exacerbated by a vicious relationship between peripheral Europe […]

Market Recap 26-11-17

United States Stocks were higher in the holiday-shortened week amid expectations that a strong holiday season would boost top-line growth for retailers, ending a two-week stretch of lower markets. The S&P 500 gained 0.93% on the week and finished at a record high of 2,602.42. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed up 0.86% on the […]

Yield harvesting in US govies

Introduction In this article, we look at the yield curve of US govies, and in particular we will try to understand its flattening upon rate hikes. This puzzling phenomenon is not something new under the horizon. The same effect was observed under the Greenspan led of the FED. Between June 2004 and December 2005, the […]

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