Category: Markets

Market Recap 24/02/2019

EUROPE During this week European indices have on average soared by 1% . In particular, the German DAX30 started the trading week at 11’267 and closed around 11’460 and the French CAC40 opened at 5’160 and closed at 5’215, both increasing around 1.5%. Differently from core countries, the most important peripheral ones have raised below […]

Belt and Road Initiative: All that Glitters is not Gold

Description of Belt and Road Initiative The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), also known as the One Belt One Road (OBOR) or the Silk Road Economic Belt and the 21st-century Maritime Silk Road, is a development strategy adopted by the Chinese government involving infrastructure and investments in European, Asian and African countries. It was initially […]

Forever Instruments, Maybe Equity, Never Defaulted? AT1 Instruments and the Santander Case

Introduction On Tuesday (Feb 12, 2019), right at the deadline for the decision to be made, Banco Santander announced that it had decided not to repay its outstanding €1.5bn CoCo bonds. CoCo bonds are hybrid securities mostly belonging to Additional Tier 1 capital, introduced by regulators in the wake of the 2008 financial crisis, as […]

The Invisible Gears: REPO Agreement and the Credit REPO Market – Part 1

Introduction Often overlooked and easily dismissed as a basic collateralised loan, repos (the short form for repurchase agreement) are much more. In fact, well-functioning (and possibly liquid) repos market is essential for the stability and efficiency of the “proper” securities markets. These is why we have defined them as the invisible gears of the financial […]

Value and Momentum: a Happy Marriage

In this article we analyze the advantages of combining together value and momentum long/short portfolios in many asset classes and in different geographical areas. In fact, they have historically shown negative correlation between them. You can exploit it by including value and momentum in a portfolio, which will have a reduced risk in terms of […]

Market Recap 17/02/2018

USA Financial markets have reacted positively to the talks between China and the US held in Beijing, that next week will move to Washington, with the S&P500 scoring a +2.50% over the week. The Dow Jones and the Nasdaq both increased by 3.09% and 2.05%, respectively. The deadline for the imposing of new tariffs is […]

2019 Macro Outlook: May you live in interesting times

“May you live in interesting times” says a Chinese proverb… Well, 2018 was actually pretty interesting to say the least for markets, with 93% of asset classes posting a negative return in USD terms – this figure is astonishing not only when compared to last year when only 1% of assets recorded negative US$ returns […]

Market Recap 02/12/2018

US Oil production in America continued its rise, hitting home market concerns that a surge in supplies would further put downward pressures on prices. Synchronized global movements have not helped either, as the rise in American oil production is matched by Saudi Arabia and Russia. The growth in supplies also vastly outstrips oil consumption, at […]

Fuelling the Electric Vehicle Revolution: Emerging Commodities

As the automotive industry evolves towards EV’s (electrical vehicles), an analysis of all the new commodities that will be used in the sector, in particular the battery sector, is required. EV batteries are made of an anode and a cathode. The anode is always made up of graphite, while the cathode has several different “formulas” […]

Your Guide to the Land of Higher Order Greeks

“Option Greeks” is the common name for the sensitivities in price of options or, in general, of derivatives and portfolios of derivatives, with respect to different factors, such as spot price of the underlying, implied volatility, risk-free interest rate, etc. Each Greek represents the ratio between the change in price and a small change in […]

Market Recap 25/11/2018

US The shortened Thanksgiving-week turned out to be the worst Thanksgiving-week since 1939, with the S&P 500 losing around 3.5% over the past week to close at 3,632.5 points as stock markets closed early at 1pm in New York due to the holiday. The S&P 500 is down 10% compared to its high in September […]

S&P500 Becoming a Marionette for MAGA?

Introduction Trading ideas and strategies are heavily affected by the decision makers’ overall view on the market. One of the main indicators of the US market strength is the S&P500 index, which is praised for its broad scope compared to other indices such as The Dow Jones Industrial Average. Many investors use this index as […]

Do Index Reviews Generate Abnormal Returns?

In this article we analyze the profitability of a sort of event-driven trading strategy, in which the “event” is represented by the addition or deletion of a stock in a MSCI Index. Since these indices are used as benchmark by lots of passive investing funds, index reviews can have an impact on the return of […]

Dollar repatriation? Different story told by cross currency swap

Intro Cross-currency basis swaps, also known as basis swaps, are contracts in which two counterparties agree to exchange interest payments according to two floating rates as well as notional principals denoted in two different currencies. Theoretically, covered interest rate parity should hold in absence of arbitrage opportunities. Here S and F denote the spot and […]

Market Recap 18/11/2018

US The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 25,989.30 on Friday and a weekly gain of 2.6%. The S&P 500 closed at 2,736.27 down 1.6% w-o-w. The Nasdaq Composite closed at 7,247.83, down 2.14% on the week. The small-cap index Russell 2000 is down 1.41% over the previous week at 1527.533. Despite positive movement on […]

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