TIPS, Gold and their divergence. Is it possible to make money?

Introduction on TIPS and Gold as inflation hedge Generally, an assets is considered t o be an “inflation hedge” if either its purchasing power is maintained over the long run or its nominal returns closely track realized inflation over shorter horizons. Gold and TIPS fall into this category and are thus correlated given that they […]

Dislocations Between Historical and Implied Volatility as an Indicators of Volatility Trades

Differences between historical realized volatility and option implied volatility has for long been known as a potential indicator for volatility mispricing. To our knowledge, the first well-known academic study on the topic was conducted by Goyal and Saretto in 2009 and published as the paper ‘Cross-section of Option Returns and Volatility’. We will first start […]

Market Recap 15/04/18

US Over the course of last week, the most important data concerning the United States came out on Friday 14th, when the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment was released. The Consumer Sentiment was 97.8, below the consensus 100.5 and the previous 101.4. This drop seems to due to concerns about the potential impact of President […]

Throwback to the 80s: the Melrose £8.1bn hostile takeover of GKN

Melrose Industries plc [LON:MRO] – market cap as of 13/04/2018: £4.36bn GKN plc [LON:GKN] – market cap as of 13/04/2018 £7.76bn Introduction  On March 29, 2018, “Project Golf” (as the bid was called internally) got pushed to the last hole, when the turnaround specialist Melrose received acceptance from the British engineering company GKN’s shareholders regarding […]

When “subject to regulatory approval” means troubles: forms of government intervention in M&A transactions

Introduction A persistent financial crisis, the rising of regional tensions, the concerns of a trade war and many other facts have recently been catching up with the M&A-friendly international environment. Protectionism seems now to pervade the new world order. Rising economic nationalism is threatening to impact M&A activity across all over the world, as governments […]

The tech offering spree goes on: Dropbox goes public with a sensational IPO

Dropbox Inc. (NASDAQ:DBX) – market cap as of 13/04/2018: €11.8bn Introduction Founded in 2007, Dropbox is the leading pure-play cloud storage and collaboration platform. Its mission is to “unleash the world’s creative energy by designing a more enlightened way of working”. Dropbox is focused on reducing the amount of time people spend on tedious tasks […]

Can We Get Rid of LIBOR?

In the current increasing interest rate environment, the debate about the controversial but nevertheless important benchmark has sparked off again. This is why, we thought it relevant to provide in the following article a refresher on the history and functioning of the London Interbank Offered Rate, as well as examine the possibility of the newly […]

Highly Leveraged Corporate America: All Chickens Come Home to Roost

Introduction The 2008 Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and subsequent Great Recession pushed the US Federal Reserve to deploy two main tools of monetary interventionism: 1) Quantitative Easing (QE) 2) Reduction of the federal funds rate to unprecedented historical lows The Federal Reserve began purchasing both sovereign and corporate bonds in mass amounts as part of […]

Market Recap 08/04/18

US The US equity market has witnessed a lot of volatility during last week. The trade war with China has weighed on all the three major indices: S&P 500 lost 1.38%, Nasdaq and Dow Jones scored -2.10% and -0.71% respectively. On Monday, the slide of some big Tech firms led the Nasdaq to lead losses. […]

Germany IPO Market skyrockets as Siemens spins off its medtech division

Siemens AG (ETR: SIE) – market cap as of 06/04/2018: €88.8bn Siemens Healthineers AG (ETR: SHL) – market cap as of 06/04/2018: €33.9bn Introduction On March 16, 2018, the German conglomerate Siemens performed an initial public offering of its principal and second most profitable division, Healthineers, on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange. The floatation was one […]

Touch a stone and turn it into gold – Real Estate in a nutshell

What is real estate Real estate is a physical ‘bricks and mortar’ investment, where income and value are driven by rents that are paid by tenants under contractually-binding leases. Its subsectors include office, retail, multifamily, industrial, self-storage and hospitality. The main sources of real asset cash flows are derived from rents determined by the leases […]

E.ON, Innogy and RWE light up the German energy industry: a €43bn structural reshuffle

Innogy SE (ETR: IGY) – market cap as of 06/04/2018: €21.2bn E.On SE (ETR: EOAN) – market cap as of 06/04/2018: €19.9bn RWE AG (ETR: RWE) – market cap as of 06/04/2018: €12.2bn Introduction On March 10th, German electricity-utility company RWE announced it had reached an agreement to sell a 76.8% stake in Innogy to […]

Cigna Corporation and Express Scripts: a $67bn deal for their survival in the US healthcare industry

CIGNA Corporation (NYSE:CI) – market cap as of 09/03/2018: $42.7bn Express Scripts Holding Co (NASDAQ:ESRX) – market cap as of 09/03/2018: $45.7bn Introduction On March 8, 2018, Cigna Corporation announced the acquisition of Express Scripts Holding for a cash and stock consideration of $67bn. The combination of Cigna – a health insurance firm – and […]

The end of offshore insurers’ loopholes: Axa to acquire XL Group for $15bn in cash

XL Group Ltd (NYSE:XL) – market cap as of 09/03/2018: $14.4bn Axa SA (EPA:CS) – market cap as of 09/03/2018: €54.5bn Introduction On the March 5, 2018, the French insurer Axa announced its intention to buy 100% of Bermuda-based XL Group, which also operates in the insurance industry, for $57.6/share. The implied valuation of Bermuda’s […]

How Fast is Fast Enough? Advent International to acquire tech components manufacturer Laird for £1.2bn.

Laird plc (LON: LRD) – market cap as of 09/03/18: £979.8 m Introduction On March 1, 2018, Advent International announced it will acquire the UK electronic components producer Laird plc for £1.2bn, or £2/share. The deal marks yet another conquest for private equity firms in search for viable targets to employ their record amounts of […]

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